Table 1 The prediction results
Year | Real value (RMB 100 million) | Predicted value (RMB 100 million) | Error value (RMB 100 million) | Accuracy (%) | Error rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2000 | 2975.63 | 3399.66 | 424.03 | 85.75 | 14.25 |
2001 | 3528.81 | 3198.51 | 330.30 | 90.64 | 9.36 |
2002 | 4633.56 | 5169.66 | 536.10 | 88.43 | 11.57 |
2003 | 5236.17 | 4823.04 | 413.13 | 92.11 | 7.89 |
2004 | 5941.82 | 5191.96 | 749.86 | 87.38 | 12.62 |
2005 | 7069.34 | 7996.13 | 926.79 | 86.89 | 13.11 |
2006 | 8308.25 | 6834.37 | 1473.88 | 82.26 | 17.74 |
2007 | 9934.37 | 8757.15 | 1177.22 | 88.15 | 11.85 |
2008 | 11595.68 | 10401.32 | 1194.36 | 89.7 | 10.3 |
2009 | 12542.23 | 14428.58 | 1886.35 | 84.96 | 15.04 |
2010 | 14206.45 | 12263.01 | 1943.44 | 86.32 | 13.68 |
2011 | 16020.8 | 17545.98 | 1525.18 | 90.48 | 9.52 |
2012 | 17658.34 | 20236.46 | 2578.12 | 85.4 | 14.6 |
2013 | 18842.2 | 21274.73 | 2432.53 | 87.09 | 12.91 |
2014 | 20431.66 | 23588.35 | 3156.69 | 84.55 | 15.45 |